Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.077045 2.387552 2.732283 3.144022 3.623257 4.164451 4.823353
2025-05-04 1.635056 2.055845 2.569917 3.247084 4.119987 5.213147 6.695047
2025-05-11 1.366412 1.823830 2.419637 3.258372 4.417996 5.978315 8.259669
2025-05-18 1.180680 1.653413 2.301847 3.265394 4.676460 6.691444 9.830099
2025-05-25 1.013131 1.476919 2.141318 3.174811 4.764334 7.153020 11.083423
2025-06-01 0.917568 1.387285 2.087322 3.222905 5.050220 7.929547 12.916669
2025-06-08 0.845398 1.321336 2.056742 3.296592 5.376836 8.802431 15.027867
2025-06-15 0.771120 1.241800 1.993177 3.305038 5.591606 9.512277 16.960755
2025-06-22 0.692703 1.145834 1.890722 3.233032 5.655088 9.964214 18.491393
2025-06-29 0.630184 1.069007 1.810565 3.187434 5.754911 10.486547 20.223669
2025-07-06 0.572434 0.993955 1.724759 3.120008 5.803082 10.914260 21.829054
2025-07-13 0.554924 0.987581 1.758312 3.274038 6.286155 12.231614 25.445084
2025-07-20 0.508983 0.930150 1.702679 3.271497 6.502622 13.132984 28.530351
2025-07-27 0.480040 0.902159 1.700786 3.378945 6.969972 14.653044 33.363643
2025-08-03 0.443606 0.855025 1.655537 3.390732 7.235856 15.784313 37.538162
2025-08-10 0.411047 0.811463 1.611579 3.398062 7.491596 16.934715 42.011011
2025-08-17 0.372461 0.751196 1.526250 3.303519 7.500993 17.513993 45.158224
2025-08-24 0.351210 0.724361 1.507305 3.353714 7.856023 18.985083 51.012817
2025-08-31 0.334158 0.704428 1.500577 3.430625 8.287744 20.725189 58.032787
2025-09-07 0.313361 0.673997 1.467108 3.439441 8.550502 22.076116 64.255810
2025-09-14 0.288549 0.631968 1.402734 3.364284 8.584561 22.820550 68.827875
2025-09-21 0.268031 0.597562 1.352116 3.316693 8.684795 23.768018 74.283498
2025-09-28 0.247999 0.562242 1.295508 3.246324 8.712095 24.513708 79.275565